Tag Archive: Sea Level Rise

  1. Experts issue warning over rising threat that could leave thousands of Americans stranded: ‘It will be a dynamic that doesn’t stop’

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    by Cody JanuszkoJuly 13, 2025

    Rising sea levels have communities around the world losing the ground beneath their feet.

    Thousands of people in the Canal community of San Rafael, California, are at risk of being stranded with no drivable routes as rising sea levels increase flooding from storms and king tides, Local News Matters reported.

    What’s happening?

    San Rafael is located in the northern region of the San Francisco Bay Area. According to Local News Matters, the land in the Canal community is subsiding, or sinking, at a rate of roughly 0.4 inches per year.

    With exit roads about 3 feet above sea level, high tides and king tides can fully cover them.

    State estimates indicate that the Bay Area’s sea level will be anywhere from 7 to 32 inches higher by 2050.

    “It’s a game of inches there, and to talk about a third of a meter or more of sea level rise, that indicates to me that San Rafael is going to be the first to need very serious interventions in the region,” Kristina Hill, a University of California, Berkeley, professor, said, per Canal Alliance.

    Why is sea level rise important?

    Kate Hagemann, San Rafael’s climate adaptation and resilience planner, said, per Local News Now: “In the past, the flood level was 10 feet, and that’s what we built to, and now, because of these emissions, sea level is going to continue rising through generations. It will be a dynamic that doesn’t stop.”

    Rising sea levels are linked to the effects of human-caused climate change.

    Human activity, especially burning dirty energy such as oil and natural gas as fuel, has contributed much of the heat-trapping pollution that has altered the climate.

    With climate change come more severe and unpredictable weather patterns. While weather refers to short-term atmospheric events, climate reflects the longer patterns of a region or ecosystem.


    A warmer climate means that more moisture can be held in the atmosphere, supercharging storms and intensifying flooding.

    Warmer temperatures also lead to melting glaciers, adding more water to the oceans. According to NASA, global sea levels have risen by almost 4 inches since 1993, with the rate of rise accelerating.

    Sea level rise also threatens critical infrastructure, including roads, power plants, and wastewater treatment facilities. The Union of Concerned Scientists estimates that by 2045, over 300,000 U.S. homes, with a combined value of over $117 billion, will be at risk if pollution continues unchecked.

    What’s being done about sea level rise?

    To help communities in the Bay Area adapt to rising sea levels, researchers from the University of California, Santa Cruz, suggest horizontal levees. These sloping levees can mimic wetlands, enhancing flood defenses while supporting crucial ecosystems.

    California’s Water Resources Development Act of 2024 also includes provisions to support studies on sea level rise.

  2. Editorial: Sinking areas of Marin need constructive strategy, practical plan

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    By MARIN IJ EDITORIAL BOARD

    PUBLISHED: March 12, 2025 at 12:59 PM PDT

    Parts of San Rafael and Corte Madera are sinking as the threat of sea-level rise grows.

    It’s happening slowly, but it’s happening. In some cases, that rate is accelerated, mostly due to compaction of the bay mud landscape on which they were built, according to a report by the National Aeronautics and Space Administration.

    That means an increased threat of flooding.

    The San Francisco Conservation and Development Commission’s study on preparing Bay Area communities for rising sea levels says Marin faces $17 billion in expenses to build adaptive and protective projects to protect low-lying areas from inundation.

    San Rafael is in the midst of a study on how to protect vulnerable areas – primarily the Canal neighborhood and areas lining San Rafael Creek.

    The vulnerability of these areas and that many of the residents who live there are among those facing the greatest economic vulnerabilities should make this work a top priority.

    Corte Madera is seeking a $900,000 grant from the Federal Emergency Management Agency’s flood mitigation assistance program for work needed to come up with plans to strengthen and raise the flood-protection berm that protects the Marina Village neighborhood and nearby businesses and homes.

    The cities not only have to plan for bolstering protection, but having emergency plans in place and ready to implement to respond to flooding.

    As Kate Hagemann, San Rafael’s climate adaptation planner, put it, the simultaneous combination of higher tides and sinking properties speeds the timing and risk of flooding. It also makes getting to work on the dilemma more urgent.

    Many of these areas are already flood prone and the risk is that the scope and depth of the inundation could increase.

    In some cases, some of these areas were flood prone when they were developed. Fill – dredge spoils and mud – was brought in to cover marshy areas to build homes and commercial properties, but those foundations are sinking due to historic compaction.

    The NASA study used its Global Navigation Satellite System  stations to provide “precise measurements of land movement and can detect both the slow, steady movements of land and sudden shifts due to short-term processes.”

    The study also confirmed similar settlement has been found in San Mateo County’s Foster City, and Bay Farm Island in Alameda County.

    Clearly, Marin is not going to come up with the estimated $17 billion need for protective measures.

    But officials are working on a constructive strategy to come up with a practical plan to address this dilemma.

    Appropriately, San Rafael has been working with the Multicultural Center of Marin and the Canal Alliance, two groups that serve Canal neighborhood residents, in coming up with a plan. Residents and property owners have a stake in this threat and they need to be partners in coming up with a practical strategy.

    The worry is that as time goes by, the threat worsens, albeit slowly. But NASA’s latest report confirms previous studies clearly outlining the problem, one that exists today and is expected to grow worse with time.

  3. Canal Residents Call for Immediate Climate Change Solutions

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    San Rafael Residents Speak Out on Flooding, Displacement, and the Need for Immediate Solutions 

    At the San Rafael City Council meeting on March 3, 2025, the community gathered to address the pressing issue of sea level rise, particularly its impact on the Canal neighborhood. The discussions highlighted the urgency for proactive measures to safeguard our neighborhoods from the escalating threats posed by climate change.  

    Mayor Kate Colin opened the session by emphasizing the city’s commitment to addressing these challenges head-on. She remarked, “Our efforts must be inclusive and resilient, ensuring that all residents, especially those in the most affected areas, are protected.”  

    During the public comment segment, several community members shared their perspectives: 

    • Rita Mazariegos,  a member of the Sea Level Rise steering committee, a 14-member group managed by Multicultural Center of Marin (MCM) that includes renters, homeowners, and business owners advising the sea level rise technical feasibility study and supporting community outreach, emphasized the need for immediate action: “The data is clear, and the risks are real. We can’t afford to wait any longer to implement protective measures.” 
    • Angel Minor, a local business owner and also a member of the Sea Level Rise steering committee, highlighted the economic implications: “If our businesses are not safeguarded against flooding, our local economy will suffer, and jobs will be lost. My cost of continuing to do business in the Canal is going to get more and more impacted.” 

    The Canal Community Resilience Planning Project, initiated in 2022, was also discussed. This initiative, supported by a $762,000 grant from the State Coastal Conservancy and the Marin Community Foundation, aims to conduct a technical feasibility study on sea level rise adaptation for East San Rafael.  

    While long-term planning is underway through the Canal Community Resilience Planning Project, supported by the State Coastal Conservancy and the Marin Community Foundation, the community has identified four urgent priorities for short-term action. These are steps the city can and should take now to prevent the situation from worsening: 

    1. Emergency Preparedness – We need real evacuation plans, training, and materials in multiple languages, so people know what to do when the next big flood comes. 
    1. Preventing Displacement – We need actual policies that stop renters and business owners from getting pushed out due to climate impacts. 
    1. Infrastructure Resilience – If new buildings are going up in the flood zone, they need to be built to handle what’s coming. We can’t afford short-term fixes. 
    1. Climate Justice – The people most affected by this crisis need a seat at the table when decisions are being made. 

    The city has recognized the urgency and is currently working on a long-term strategy. However, as this meeting showed, immediate actions remain equally critical. Our community is actively engaged and will continue advocating for these solutions. 

    Stay informed, stay involved, and continue advocating for solutions. Together, we can help shape the future of our community. Learn more about how you can join the Nuestro Canal, Nuestro Futuro initiative and subscribe for updates here. 

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